Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.003202 0.003357 0.003515 0.003689 0.003874 0.004067 0.004282
2025-04-06 0.002932 0.003164 0.003409 0.003690 0.004003 0.004344 0.004742
2025-04-13 0.002680 0.002944 0.003232 0.003570 0.003959 0.004394 0.004920
2025-04-20 0.002557 0.002852 0.003180 0.003575 0.004039 0.004573 0.005238
2025-04-27 0.002486 0.002810 0.003177 0.003628 0.004170 0.004809 0.005626
2025-05-04 0.002376 0.002715 0.003105 0.003592 0.004188 0.004904 0.005843
2025-05-11 0.002288 0.002640 0.003050 0.003570 0.004218 0.005011 0.006073
2025-05-18 0.002207 0.002569 0.002996 0.003544 0.004239 0.005104 0.006287
2025-05-25 0.002174 0.002554 0.003008 0.003599 0.004361 0.005328 0.006678
2025-06-01 0.002113 0.002501 0.002970 0.003588 0.004396 0.005437 0.006919
2025-06-08 0.002049 0.002442 0.002921 0.003559 0.004405 0.005511 0.007114
2025-06-15 0.001977 0.002370 0.002853 0.003504 0.004375 0.005530 0.007229
2025-06-22 0.001912 0.002306 0.002795 0.003459 0.004358 0.005566 0.007373
2025-06-29 0.001871 0.002271 0.002772 0.003460 0.004403 0.005689 0.007648
2025-07-06 0.001787 0.002177 0.002669 0.003350 0.004292 0.005588 0.007586
2025-07-13 0.001753 0.002149 0.002652 0.003354 0.004337 0.005709 0.007860
2025-07-20 0.001740 0.002146 0.002667 0.003403 0.004446 0.005924 0.008288
2025-07-27 0.001695 0.002101 0.002624 0.003370 0.004436 0.005966 0.008448
2025-08-03 0.001658 0.002064 0.002592 0.003349 0.004444 0.006033 0.008649
2025-08-10 0.001621 0.002027 0.002558 0.003326 0.004446 0.006091 0.008837
2025-08-17 0.001613 0.002029 0.002577 0.003377 0.004558 0.006318 0.009315
2025-08-24 0.001583 0.002000 0.002553 0.003366 0.004578 0.006405 0.009561
2025-08-31 0.001550 0.001965 0.002520 0.003340 0.004573 0.006451 0.009741